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Your Nine Year Old is Smarter Than Donald Trump: Covid -19
The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation published charts that a fourth-grader can understand (and probably you too). Hold your mouse over the charts and see the daily numbers forecasted for ICU beds, shortages, deaths, etc.
The data is premised on present rates, of infection, isolation, etc. The takeaways: The growth of infection and fatalities will sharply rise over the next TWO WEEKS.
The peak will be April 15.
But, the rate will not decline to the late March levels until June 1, 2020.
The rate may be different in different cities/.states based on their compliance with staying home.
Trump is correct is saying deaths will probably peak around April 15. He is wrong leaving the impression that things will quickly improve after that.
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